Blending Market Structure, Fibonacci, and Volume Analysis

Saturday, November 24, 2007

YEN CARRY TRADE


You can see in the photo, a Cyan line going across the Russell Index.
I have found that the carry trade is alive and well in the US Futures markets, as of about
06/07 the Yen Currency Futures market has a direct implication on US Index futures market, when you add the Yen on the same scale in your chart of the index there is a 90% chance when they cross it is a buy or sell signal.
I use this set-up on a daily basis and it has proven to be very effective.
I am not sure why this has been only of late, it may be to hedge currency risk in the Yen carry trade due to the Dollars recent collapse agents all the worlds currencies

What is ZERO SUM

Definition: Zero-sum games involve situations in which one person's gains are the result of another person's losses. No wealth is created (or destroyed) in these games.

Examples: Examples of zero-sum games include options and futures. If a person makes money on an options or future contract, it means the person who sold it to him lost money.

Another example is gambling: either you or the house win.

What about the stock market? The stock market is not a zero-sum game because stocks are not simply investments traded from one party to another. Rather, they're representative of the underlying business. So if the business creates value, the stock will do so for the investor as well.

Saturday, November 3, 2007